June 24, 2022 By Tim Nyland, CFA

Stable Earnings™ Portfolios – Performance Spotlight | April 2022 Total Return Performance Analysis

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The cornerstone of the Pacific Point family of funds is the Stable Earnings™ family of core equity portfolios. The Stable Earnings™ family represents concentrated, carefully selected stock portfolios whose consolidated earnings have been stable over a long period of time, 25+ years.

During the month of April, the war in Ukraine drove commodity prices higher at the same time inflation hit 40-year highs. Recession fears escalated as the Federal Reserve acknowledged a narrow path to achieve its dual mandate. Taming inflation while not materially raising unemployment, against the backdrop of a slowing global economy made worse by China’s zero-Covid policy, has left investors questioning their trust in the Federal Reserve. The rate of increase in U.S. Treasury yields since March 2022 has sparked a global asset revaluation that is ripping through all asset classes from fixed income to equity and crypto securities.

The Nasdaq Composite experienced its worst month since October 2008, bringing its losses to 13.3% for the month of April. As of the end of April, the index is down 21% in 2022, its worst start to a year on record. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average have declined 8.8% and 4.9% respectively in April, bringing year-to-date losses to 13% and 9% respectively this year, as of the end of April 2022.

The current market environment stresses the importance of earnings stability at the portfolio level as this can provide downside protection against loss of capital during periods of market turbulence, rising yields, economic recession, and unforeseen events. The current market volatility in a rising interest rate environment presents the ideal opportunity to showcase the overall effectiveness of the Stable EarningsTM strategy.

The charts below illustrate the April 2022, Stable EarningsTM total return performance analysis relative to the broader S&P 500® Index. The Stable EarningsTM family of “core” equity portfolios are available in three different strategies: Core, Dividend and ESG.

 

Stable EarningsTM Model Portfolios vs. S&P 500 Index 10-Year Total Return as of April 2022

*Hypothetical Model Returns as of 4/30/2012. Net return of .5% advisory fee. See disclaimers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 and 7   Source: FactSet

 

Stable EarningsTM Core Portfolio vs. S&P 500 Index – Total Return April 2022

*Please see disclaimers 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5                                                                                                        Source: FactSet

 

Stable EarningsTM Dividend Portfolio vs. S&P 500 Index – Total Return April 2022

*Please see disclaimers 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5                                                                                                        Source: FactSet

 

Stable EarningsTM ESG Portfolio vs. S&P 500 Index – Total Return April 2022

*Please see disclaimers 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5                                                                                                        Source: FactSet

 

Our Discipline, Your Strength

All Stable EarningsTM portfolio companies have a demonstrated 25-year history of capital efficiency, profitability, and overall fundamental quality. Management of the Stable EarningsTM family of equity portfolios is a well-defined discipline that seeks consistent application of the strategy through economic cycles.

 

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General Disclaimer
This report is not an offer to sell securities of any investment fund, a solicitation of offers to buy any such securities, or a solicitation to open a separately managed account with Pacific Point Advisors, LLC (“Pacific Point”).

An investment in any strategy, including the Pacific Point Stable Earnings™ Stock Portfolio strategy (the “PSE”) described herein, involves a high degree of risk. The PSE is not an actual index but represents the hypothetical performance of a concentrated basket of stocks picked by Pacific Point, with the benefit of hindsight. There is no guarantee that the investment objective will be achieved. Past performance of these strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is the possibility of loss, and all investment involves risk including the loss of principal.

The information in this presentation was prepared by Pacific Point and is believed by Pacific Point to be reliable and has been obtained from public sources believed to be reliable. Pacific Point makes no representation as to the accuracy or completeness of such information. Opinions, estimates and projections in this presentation constitute the current judgment of Pacific Point and are subject to change without notice. Any projections, forecasts and estimates contained in this presentation are necessarily speculative in nature and are based upon certain assumptions. It can be expected that some or all of such assumptions will not materialize or will vary significantly from actual results. Accordingly, any projections are only estimates and actual results will differ and may vary substantially from the projections or estimates shown. This presentation is not intended as a recommendation to purchase or sell any commodity or security. Pacific Point has no obligation to update, modify or amend this presentation or to otherwise notify a reader thereof in the event that any matter stated herein, or any opinion, project on, forecast or estimate set forth herein, changes or subsequently becomes inaccurate.

This research report is strictly confidential and may not be reproduced or redistributed in whole or in part nor may its contents be disclosed to any other person without the express consent of the Pacific Point.

ALL STATEMENTS IN THIS PRESENTATION ARE THE OPINIONS OF PACIFIC POINT, UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.

Additional Disclaimers

Disclaimer 1 – Investment Strategy
The description herein of the approach of Pacific Point and the targeted characteristics of the PSE™ strategy and investments is based on current expectations and should not be considered definitive or a guarantee that the approaches, strategies, and investment portfolio will, in fact, possess these characteristics. In addition, the description herein of the PSE’s risk management strategies is based on current expectations and should not be considered definitive or a guarantee that such strategies will reduce all risk. These descriptions are based on information available as of the date of preparation of this document, and the description may change over time. Past performance, model performance, and back testing of these strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is the possibility of loss and all investment involves risk including the loss of principal.

Disclaimer 2 – Graphs and Charts
The graphs, charts and other visual aids are provided for informational purposes only. None of these graphs, charts or visual aids can and of themselves be used to make investment decisions. No representation is made that these will assist any person in making investment decisions and no graph, chart or other visual aid can capture all factors and variables required in making such decisions.

Disclaimer 3 – Indices
References to market or composite indices, benchmarks, or other measures of relative market performance over a specified period of time may be presented to show general trends in the markets for the applicable period and are not intended to imply that the PSE is benchmarked to any indices either in composition or level of risk. Benchmark data is provided for comparative purposes only. Reference or comparison to an index does not imply that the portfolio will be constructed in the same way as an index or achieve returns, volatility, or other results similar to the index.

Indices are unmanaged, include the reinvestment of dividends and do not reflect transaction costs or any performance fees. Unlike indices, the PSE will be actively managed and may include substantially fewer and different securities than those comprising each index. Results for the PSE as compared to the performance of the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (the “S&P 500”) is for informational purposes only. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged market capitalization-weighted index of 500 common stocks chosen for market size, liquidity, and industry group representation to represent U.S. equity performance. The PSE does not mirror this index and the volatility may be materially different than the volatility of the S&P 500.

Results for the PSE as compared to the performance of the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (the “S&P 500”), is for informational purposes only. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged market capitalization-weighted index of 500 common stocks chosen for market size, liquidity, and industry group representation to represent U.S. equity performance. The PSE does not mirror this index and the volatility may be materially different than the volatility of the S&P 500.

Results for the PSE as compared to the performance of the Ark innovation ETF (ARKK) is for informational purposes only. The Ark innovation ETF is an actively managed fund that seeks long-term capital growth from companies globally involved with, or that benefit from, disruptive innovation. The PSE does not mirror this index and the volatility may be materially different than the volatility of the Ark innovation ETF.
Direct comparisons between the PSE’s performance and equity market indices are not without complications. The PSE’s portfolio may contain options and other derivative securities, fixed income investments, may include short sales of securities and margin trading and may not be as diversified as market indices. The indices may be unmanaged, may be market weighted, and unlike PSE, indices do not incur fees and expenses. Due to the differences among PSE’s portfolio and the performance of equity market indices, no such index is directly comparable to the PSE investment strategy.

Disclaimer 4 – Forward Looking Statements/Projections
Any projections, forecasts, objectives and estimates contained in this document are necessarily speculative in nature and are based upon certain assumptions. In addition, matters they describe are subject to known (and unknown) risks, uncertainties and other unpredictable factors, many of which are beyond Pacific Point’s control. No representations or warranties are made as to the accuracy of such forward-looking statements. It can be expected that some or all of such forward-looking assumptions will not materialize or will vary significantly from actual results. Accordingly, any projections are only estimates and actual results will differ and may vary substantially from the projections or estimates shown. This presentation cannot and does not guarantee or predict a similar outcome with respect to any future investment.

Disclaimer 5 – Model Returns/Back Testing
Model performance results are unaudited and do not reflect actual results of the PSE™ managed by Pacific Point. Model performance results are for illustrative purposes only and are not necessarily indicative of performance that would have been actually achieved if an investment utilized the strategy during the relevant periods, nor are these simulations necessarily indicative of future performance of the strategy. These model performance results are net of .5% advisory fees. Model returns are inclusive of the reinvestment of dividends and other earnings, including income from new issues. The model returns are based on the indicated time periods and do not give effect to high water marks, if any. Inherent limitations of model performance may include: 1) model results are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight; 2) model results do not represent the impact that material economic and market factors might have on an investment adviser’s decision-making process if the adviser were actually managing client money; 3) there are numerous factors related to the markets in general, many of which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which may adversely affect actual investment results.

Disclaimer 6 – Specific Securities Shown
The companies and/or securities shown on the above presentation are presented for illustrative purposes only and are not necessarily actual securities held in PSE, nor is this list of companies necessarily indicative of potential or future holdings of PSE. Inclusion of such companies is not intended as a recommendation to purchase or sell any security. These companies are solely illustrative of Pacific Point’s investment strategy and are subject to change. Pacific Point may at any time adjust, increase, decrease or eliminate any of the target companies, depending on, among other things, market conditions and trends, general economic conditions and changes in Pacific Point’s investment philosophy, strategy and expectations regarding the focus, techniques, and activities of its strategy.

Disclaimer 7 – Specific Securities Shown
The companies and/or securities shown on the above presentation are presented for illustrative purposes only and are not necessarily actual securities held in PSE, nor is this list of companies necessarily indicative of potential or future holdings of PSE. Inclusion of such companies is not intended as a recommendation to purchase or sell any security. These companies are solely illustrative of Pacific Point’s investment strategy and are subject to change. Pacific Point may at any time adjust, increase, decrease or eliminate any of the target companies, depending on, among other things, market conditions and trends, general economic conditions and changes in Pacific Point’s investment philosophy, strategy and expectations regarding the focus, techniques, and activities of its strategy.